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Taos Avalanche Center

Professional Observation

Basic Information

Observation Details

Observation Date:
February 6, 2021
Submitted:
February 6, 2021
Observer:
TAC - Andy Bond
Zone or Region:
Taos Area
Location:
Wheeler Peak Chutes

Signs of Unstable Snow

Recent Avalanches? 
Yes
Cracking? 
None Experienced
Collapsing? 
None Experienced

Snow Stability

Stability Rating: 
Fair
Confidence in Rating: 
Low
Stability Trend: 
Steady

Bottom Line

There is a lot of uncertainty right now and even though we are at a Moderate avalanche danger I would not trust any slope over 35 degrees right now regardless of aspect. To see Large unsurvivable, unmanageable natural avalanches with the lack of any significant load is making me take a step back and reconsider everything. This is a bad snowpack and the consequences would be catastrophic if you were on one of these slopes. TIME TO KEEP IT MELLOW AND STICK TO LOW ANGLE TERRAIN!

Media

Large Natural Avalanches on a West Cross-Loaded slope within the past 48 hours.  These avalanches where 2 to 5 feet deep and ran well into the trees just above Williams Lake snapping trees.  These avalanches failed on facets just above the ground.

Advanced Information

Weather Summary

Cloud Cover:
Clear
Temperature:
10 - 25
Wind:
Moderate , W

Sunny, beautiful day with temperatures in the teens and 20's but felt warm in the sun. West winds were in the teens and 20's gusting in the 30's but we did not observe much snow being tranpsported.

Avalanche Observations

 #  Date Location Size Type Bed Sfc Depth Trigger Comments Photo
1 Past 48 hours Wheeler Peak Chutes
W 11,800
D2.5 HS O-Old Snow 2 - 5' N-Natural Large debris that would've been unsurvivable and ran nearly 1000' down to just above Williams Lake. This avalanche was snapping small trees and when seemed to wrap around terrain features that created a 500' wide avalanche.

Snowpack Observations

It's a scary snowpack and the fact that we continue to find large natural avalanches that happened in the past 48 hours without any significant loading is concerning. Today we were surprised to see large natural crowns on the west-facing cross-loaded slopes below Wheeler Peak. This was a large unsurvivable avalanche that put significant debris running almost near Williams Lake.

Avalanche Problems

Problem Location Distribution Sensitivity Size Comments
None Specified
Isolated
Specific
Widespread
Unreactive
Stubborn
Reactive
Touchy
D1
D1.5
D2
D2.5
D3
D3.5
D4
D4.5
D5
These are the most likely places to get avalanches but honestly any slope over 35 degrees should be considered suspect right now

Terrain Use

Can't trust this snowpack and booted up a bed surface to check out the crown. Wouldn't want to get on anything over 35 degrees right now!

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