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Taos Avalanche Center

Professional Observation

Basic Information

Observation Details

Observation Date:
December 16, 2020 - December 16, 2020
Submitted:
December 16, 2020
Observer:
TAC - Steve Gately
Zone or Region:
Taos Area
Location:
Sin Nombre Cirque to Wheeler Peak Near Treeline

Signs of Unstable Snow

Recent Avalanches? 
None Observed
Cracking? 
Widespread
Collapsing? 
Widespread

Snow Stability

Stability Rating: 
Fair
Confidence in Rating: 
Moderate
Stability Trend: 
Improving

Bottom Line

It's not difficult to find signs of unstable snow. We experienced several collapses with shooting cracks on test slopes. However, all of these slopes arrested. So what does that mean? We're living in a transition period. Our snowpack is adjusting to the new load but it's still possible to trigger a Persistent Slab avalanche. These avalanches have the potential to be large enough to bury or kill a skier or rider. North through East aspects near and above tree line are the most suspect.

Media

Still experiencing collapses and shooting cracks. All test slopes arrested.

Advanced Information

Weather Summary

Cloud Cover:
Clear
Temperature:
22
Wind:
Light , N

A beautiful sunny day up there today. It was warm in the sun and we observed some solar effect on West and South facing aspects especially below tree line. Near tree line and above probably need one more day to form a noticeable melt freeze crust. Temperatures were noticeably warmer which is in line with the forecast. We didn't notice wind transporting snow off ridgelines today.

Snowpack Observations

Areas that have seen some wind have a more cohesive slab that is still susceptible to collapsing at the moment. Our deeper snowpack on North through East aspects are collapsing on a layer of Near Surface Facets just below a wind crust that marks the interface between older snow and our most recent storm snow. West facing aspects have an overall shallower snowpack that is collapsing on Basal Facets or Depth Hoar. South aspects were not observed today.

The sun is helping to reduce the strength of our slabs on solar aspects. Wind sheltered areas near and below tree line are losing strength through faceting. North through East aspects continue to be the most suspect, especially in areas with signs of wind distribution.

Avalanche Problems

Problem Location Distribution Sensitivity Size Comments
Persistent Slab
Isolated
Specific
Widespread
Unreactive
Stubborn
Reactive
Touchy
D1
D1.5
D2
D2.5
D3
D3.5
D4
D4.5
D5
Layer Depth/Date: 12/16/2020

It's not hard to find signs of instability but it is however becoming stubborn to get these slopes to avalanche. All test slopes collapsed and arrested.

Terrain Use

We generally stuck to terrain below 35 degrees. We sought out isolated areas of avalanche terrain as test slopes.

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