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Taos Avalanche Center

Professional Observation

Basic Information

Observation Details

Observation Date:
December 13, 2020
Submitted:
December 13, 2020
Observer:
TAC - Andy Bond
Zone or Region:
Taos Area
Location:
High Hazard Avalanche Cycle

Signs of Unstable Snow

Recent Avalanches? 
Yes
Cracking? 
Widespread
Collapsing? 
Widespread
Most slopes we traveled on we were getting cracking and collapsing which included below treeline terrain.

Snow Stability

Stability Rating: 
Very Poor
Confidence in Rating: 
High
Stability Trend: 
Improving

Bottom Line

Widespread natural avalanche cycle early on last night. Lot's of slopes avalanched naturally during this event. Slopes that are still hanging in there remain suspect. It's going to take time for the various weak layers to adjust to this added load.

Media

Small natural avalanche below treeline at 10,000'
Southwest aspect that ran later than most slopes with wind change to the Northeast  around 3 AM
Deep trail breaking in 2 feet of snow

Advanced Information

Weather Summary

Cloud Cover:
Clear
Temperature:
5 - 15
Wind:
Light , NW

Sunny day with cold temperatures. Light winds were not drifting snow, but there is still a lot of snow available for transport

Avalanche Observations

Natural avalanche cycle that occurred sometime overnight during peak instability, probably when precip rates were 2 + inches an hour. Crowns and debris had been blown in with new snow and were hard to decipher where things ran. Natural avalanches occurred at all elevations. Most North and East slopes above treeline ran naturally during this event. Several West aspects also ran. Below and near treeline we had several avalanches that ran naturally on all aspects but true South.

Snowpack Observations

Weak old snow seems to be the culprit for a widespread natural and skier triggered avalanche cycle. Many slopes ran naturally during this event with size 1 to 2 avalanches. With the new load over the last 72 hours we were getting easy to moderate scores in extended column tests on various weak layers. Slopes that did not run naturally continue to remain suspect and may just need the added weight of skier or rider.

It's going to take time for the various weak layers to adjust to this added load.

Avalanche Problems

Problem Location Distribution Sensitivity Size Comments
Persistent Slab
Isolated
Specific
Widespread
Unreactive
Stubborn
Reactive
Touchy
D1
D1.5
D2
D2.5
D3
D3.5
D4
D4.5
D5
Weak faceted old snow seems to be the weak layer that many of these avalanches ran on. These persistent weak layers didn't stand a chance to the significant loading over the last 72 hours.
Storm Slab
Isolated
Specific
Widespread
Unreactive
Stubborn
Reactive
Touchy
D1
D1.5
D2
D2.5
D3
D3.5
D4
D4.5
D5
Storm slabs seem to be less reactive than they were during peak instability. It's hard to tell what ran in storm slabs or at the interface of new/old snow and what stepped down or ran in old weak faceted snow. Instabilities wihtin storm slabs should ease over the next day or two but we did receive reports of skier triggered avalanches in storm slabs from avalanche mitigation crews today. Below treeline avalanches are failing on very shallow weak faceted snowpack that is basically just the storm slab.
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